Waterfield icon Logo

Economics and Implications of RBI’s June Changes in FCNR(B) for NRIs

Riddhiman Jain

|

10 June 2026

Market Commentary

Wealth Management

mobileImage

What is FCNR(B)?

Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) deposits are fixed deposits held by Non-Resident Indians (NRIs) in foreign currency — typically USD, GBP, or EUR. The NRI earns interest in foreign currency and repatriates both principal and interest in foreign currency upon maturity. Critically, the NRI bears no currency risk. The bank does.

The Core Problem Banks Face

When a bank accepts a $1 deposit at, say, 5%, it must:

  • Deploy those dollars into rupee assets (loans, SLR bonds, etc.)
  • Hedge the currency risk — buy dollars forward so it can repay the NRI in USD when the deposit matures

That hedging costs money. Specifically, the forward premium — the cost of locking in a future USD/INR rate — is currently ~3.5% per annum. The bank's true cost of an FCNR(B) deposit without RBI support is therefore:

Interest paid to NRI   +   Hedging cost   +   SLR/CRR drag   =   Effective cost 

The Numbers: Why Banks Have No Incentive

ComponentRate
Current FCNR(B) card rate (3-year)~3.35%
Forward premium (hedging cost)~3.5%
Effective cost to bank~6.85%+
Domestic 3-year deposit card rate~6.5%

At ~6.85%+, FCNR(B) is more expensive than domestic deposits for the bank — with added operational complexity. There is no incentive to aggressively mobilise FCNR(B) deposits under this structure. 

What RBI's Intervention Changes

RBI has offered two concessions running until 30 September:

  • Bear the full hedging cost (the ~3.5% forward premium on behalf of banks)
  • Exempt FCNR(B) deposits from SLR and CRR requirements

SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio) and CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) are mandatory reserves banks must park with RBI, earning little to nothing. They represent a significant hidden cost drag on every deposit mobilised. With both costs removed, the bank's effective cost equation resets entirely:

With RBI SupportRate
Rate offered to NRI5.5%+
Hedging cost borne byRBI (0% to bank)
SLR/CRR dragWaived
Net cost to bank~5.5% — competitive with domestic deposits

Why 5.5%+ is Attractive to NRIs

The NRI's natural alternative is a US Treasury deposit of equivalent duration, currently yielding ~4%. An FCNR(B) deposit at 5.5% offers:

  • A 150bps pickup over risk-free US rates
  • Full denomination and repayment in USD — no currency risk to the NRI
  • Completely repatriable principal and interest

This is a structurally compelling offer — not marginal outperformance but a decisive yield advantage in the same currency.

The 5-Year Cost to RBI

The fiscal cost of the scheme, quantified per billion raised: 

Cost ItemQuantum
Annual hedging cost absorbed by RBI~2.5% p.a.
Over 5-year tenor~12.5% total
Cost per $1 billion raised$125 million

This $125 million per billion is RBI's deliberate expenditure — a calculated subsidy to attract dollar inflows, shore up forex reserves, and defend the rupee. The cost is meaningful but manageable against the stability benefit of a large-scale inflow. 

The $34 Billion Benchmark

In 2013, during the taper tantrum — when the rupee depreciated sharply to ~68/$ — RBI ran a structurally similar FCNR(B) scheme. It mobilised $34 billion in hard currency, which single-handedly stabilised the exchange rate and rebuilt India's external reserves.

Current conditions are at least as compelling: global uncertainty is elevated, NRI risk appetite toward India remains strong, and the yield pickup over US Treasuries is attractive. The $34 billion mobilised in 2013 should be treated as a floor, not a ceiling.

The One-Line Logic

RBI is subsidising the currency hedge so banks can offer NRIs dollar deposits at 5.5%+ — well above US Treasury rates — without banks taking unhedged currency risk. The cost to RBI is ~$125M per billion raised. The payoff: a potential $34B+ in hard currency inflows that directly strengthen India's external balance sheet.

Source: SBI Research Paper  

MORE INSIGHTS

Contact Us

Your legacy awaits

Topic of Enquiry*:

How did you discover Waterfield?

*Kindly note that this form does not operate as a job portal, and the HR Team will not receive information regarding your candidature

Offices